The 2/1 Buydown Time Bomb

In 2022 and 2023, the 2/1 buydown was all the rage. Buyers stretched into homes they couldn’t quite afford yet because the first two years of payments looked “manageable.”

Fast-forward to today, and those payments are jumping—hard. I talked to a family recently who went from paying $2,500/month to just over $3,600. That extra $1100+ wasn’t in the budget (and we KNOW taxes and insurance likely went up as well). They’re not alone.

Here’s why this matters for you as an agent (or investor):

  1. Payment shock is real. Many owners can’t sustain the jump. That creates conversations—and listings.

  2. Refi isn’t the rescue plan. Rates didn’t drop like people hoped. Some can’t qualify, others don’t have enough equity.

  3. Equity cushions are shrinking. Homeowners would rather sell while they still have chips on the table than risk losing them.

  4. Investors get to be problem-solvers. You can offer terms, cash, or just speed—the very thing these sellers need.

  5. The timeline is predictable. We know when those buydowns were written. We know when they expire. Translation: a ready-made lead list.

The takeaway? The 2/1 buydown was a Band-Aid. That Band-Aid is now ripping off, and it’s exposing financial wounds that sellers can’t ignore.

A simple opener:

“A lot of 2/1 buydowns from 2023 are about to expire (or recently did)—have you thought about how that affects your payment (or your next move)?”

It’s a smart, timely talking point that can uncover sellers who need your help right now.